• Week of May 1, 2023 Newsletter

THIS WEEK

– New Automotive Reports & Regulations

– Freight & Supply Chains

– Pandemic Preparedness

Be the first to know! Start your week with a generous dose of foresight. In just 5 minutes get a head start on global political and economic events this week that will shape your business, strategy, and portfolio. Be the first to lead! Subscribe to our newsletter to receive the latest edition, every Monday.

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GOVERNMENT ANALYTICA ACADEMY: Learn more about 6-steps to Effective Government Advocacy with this quick 1-pager. Contact us to learn more about our capabilities and see how we can be of service to you.

HAPPENING THIS WEEK

U.S. House and Senate will hold hearings on the 2024 national budget.

MONDAY

Today is International Workers’ Day.

United Nations The Africa Dialogue Series 2023 starts on the 1st of May and continues until the 24 May.

TUESDAY

European Parliament, Legal Affairs Committee will adopt its position on the proposal for so-called corporate sustainability due diligence. The draft bill aims at minimizing the adverse impact that companies’ activities can have on people and the planet, labor, pollution and biodiversity loss. The new rules would require firms to identify and end or mitigate their negative impact on humans and the environment.

United Nations special meeting on “Unleashing the transformative power of SDG16: Improving governance and reducing corruption” will be organized by the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA). It will broadcast on UN Web TV.

The Global consultation on Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) starts today (2-4 May) and it is organized by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO).

Today, World Health Organization (WHO) will release the new global pulse survey results on essential health service continuity during the pandemic.

WEDNESDAY

European Parliament Environment and the Industry committees will adopt their position on the first-ever EU legislation on methane emissions reductions in the energy sector. The proposed legislation would cover methane emissions from oil, fossil gas and coal sectors, and from renewable biomethane once it is injected in the gas network.

The 8th Multi-stakeholder Forum on Science, Technology and Innovation for the Sustainable Development Goals will be held in the Trusteeship Council Chamber. The Forum is organized by the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA) and will continue until 4 May.

Today, World Health Organization (WHO) will release of the 4th progress report of the Global Action Plan for Healthy Lives and Well-being for All (SDG3 GAP).

THURSDAY

Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) foreign ministers will meet in Goa (India).

Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions will hold hearings to examine preparing for the next public health emergency, focusing on reauthorizing the Pandemic and All-Hazards Preparedness Act. Meeting Details

Politico event Is Europe on the right path to prevent medicines shortages ? Speakers: Introductory remarks by our partner, Philippe Drechsle, Teva, Prof. Gilles Vassal, Adrian van den Hoven, Darija Kuruc Poje, MEP Kateřina Konečná (GUE/NGL, Czech Republic) FIND OUT MORE

International Conference on Natural Hazards and Disasters, 04-05 May, Amsterdam, Netherlands

FRIDAY

A slow day in politics.

SATURDAY & SUNDAY

Saturday is the Coronation of King Charles III, UK. The coronation marks a historic, albeit symbolic change to the UK monarchy and head of state.

GLOBAL ECONOMIC PULSE

U.S., EU and Australia are announcing interest rate decisions this week. Euro-area Consumer Price Index is expected. Last week’s data shows higher inflation in France and Spain. Euro-area GDP was up 0.1% causing France and Italy avoid technical recessions. Germany and Turkey inflation declined. Rate decisions are due for Brazil (current interest rate of 13.75%) and Malaysia (current interest rate of 2.75%). China Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) is due. According to Investopedia, the latest reports on the U.S. labor market will arrive this week. On Tuesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release its Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) for March, tracking total openings, hires, quits, and separations for the month. On Wednesday, payroll provider ADP will issue its National Employment Report for April, tracking private sector payrolls. Private businesses likely added 135,000 positions, compared to a gain of 145,000 in March. U.S. Labor Department’s nonfarm payrolls report will be out on Friday. Payrolls are projected to have risen just 178,000 in April, which would mark the smallest increase since a loss of 268,000 positions in December 2020. This would suggest a slowing economy and a slow loosening of a labor market that has remained tight over the past year as the Federal Reserve hiked interest rates. China’s growth seems to be on track. China’s growth matters for China and globally. China’s economy accounts for about 19% of global GDP and a larger share of global trade. If China’s recovery accelerates, this will be good for global growth.

  • Earnings Reports This Week: tryker Corp. (SYK), Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX), Arista Networks Inc. (ANET), NXP Semiconductors (NXPI), ON Semiconductor Corp. (ON), Pfizer (PFE), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Starbucks (SBUX), BP (BP), Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW), Eaton Corp. (ETN), Thomson Reuters Corp. (TRI), Uber Technologies (UBER), Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO), Enterprise Products Partners (EPP), Marathon Petroleum Corp. (MPC), Marriott International (MAR), Ecolab Inc. (ECL), Ford Motor Company (F), Sysco Corporation (SYY), Qualcomm (QCOM), CVS Health Corp. (CVS), Equinor (EQNR), Estee Lauder Cos. (EL), Equinix (EQIX), Public Storage (PSA), Stellantis (STLA), The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC), Emerson Electric Co. (EMR), Phillips 66 (PSX), MetLife Inc. (MET), Exelon Corp. (EXC), Yum! Brands Inc. (YUM), Barrick Gold (GOLD), Allstate Corporation (ALL), Cognizant (CTSH), Apple (AAPL), Royal Dutch Shell (SHEL), Anheuser Busch (BUD), ConocoPhillips (COP), Booking Holdings (BKNG), Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN), Zoetis Inc. (ZTS), Becton, Dickinson and Co. (BDX), Shopify (SHOP), Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), Monster Beverage Corp. (MNST), Moderna (MRNA), Ferrari (RACE), Fortinet Inc. (FTNT), American International Group (AIG), Block (SQ), Novo Nordisk (NVO), Enbridge Inc. (ENB), Cigna Group (CI), ENI (E), Dominion Energy (D), ING Group (ING), NatWest Group (NWG), WarnerBros. Discovery (WBD), and Icahn Enterprises (IEP)

NOTEWORTHY REGULATIONS, LEGISLATION, DECISIONS & REPORTS

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AREAS WE TRACK

POLITICAL LEADERSHIP: Covering changes in political leadership and elections.

GEOPOLITICS & POLITICAL RISK: Movements of government positions in multilateral organizations. Major changes in governments policies and regulations.

SUPPLY CHAINS & INDUSTRIAL POLICY: Major global issues around trade, trade relations and supply chains.

ECONOMY: Major countries’ economic developments, major changes in GDP and other economic indicators. Investments, jobs, monetary pressures in key economies.

FISCAL STIMULUS or SURPLUS SPENDING: Government investments in economic stimulus and social assistance. Government social assistance to businesses. External or internal national investments.

TAXES: Changes in taxation regulation for VAT, corporate tax, other forms of taxation.

LABOR: Employment and unemployment trends and regulations. Workforce changes and shifts in labor demands.

FINANCIAL SERVICES: Multilateral financial institution investments in new projects. National banks and important monetary decisions.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CONSTRUCTION: Major new infrastructure investment projects focused on transportation (roads, rail, aviation, shipping), municipal water systems, national and regional electrical grid, telecommunication & broadband.

ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT: Government investments and regulation in support of major environmental policies. Investment and regulation for energy production including oil & gas and renewables, smart electricity transmission and distribution. Investment and regulation for point-of-use electrification.

HEALTHCARE: Major new health policies and regulatory changes in key economies around the world. Major global new or updated pharma or medical device regulations. New emerging threats of infectious diseases and outbreaks. Pandemic preparedness and response.

TECHNOLOGY: Major movements in government technology policy. Major technological advancements impacting market verticals.

AVIATION: Airlines and aviation company developments including MRO. Flag carrier policy developments.

AUTO INDUSTRY: Major auto industry trends and government policy.

READERSHIP PROFILE

Our subscribers are: C-Suite executives, leaders in associations, nonprofits, NGOs, major consulting companies, think tanks, ministers and members of parliaments. They hail from the U.S. and dozens of other countries, mostly developed and fast-growing emerging economies. On average, over 70% open and read our newsletter. Start your week with a generous dose of foresight.

John Pournoor